Data driven inference of the time varying COVID-19 reproduction number.
University Of Southampton
Jan 2019 - Dec 2020 (2 years)
This project focused on applying the Sequential Bayesian Inference method to Covid-19 data to estimate the time-varying reproduction number, a key concept in infectious disease modeling. Using UK Covid-19 case time series data, I implemented both the Basic and Gaussian approaches to estimate epidemiological parameters, visualizing the variation of the reproduction number over time. The project involved data preprocessing, method implementation, and analysis, with results offering insights into the progression of the pandemic. Additionally, SQL was integral to my project for data exploration, as I used it to query, summarize, and analyze the COVID-19 dataset before applying more complex modeling techniques. For example, I utilized SQL to che