Sergio Serrano Ayvar Economic Reasearch in Fideicomisos Instituidos en Relación

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Data Science Manager

Banco del Bienestar

Jun 2025 - Current (11 months)

Currently leading a data science project to forecast cash allocations using machine learning models and inventory theory to minimize costs and optimize stock levels across bank branches and ATMs. Leading a big team in replicating and improving predictive tools previously implemented, transitioning to scalable SQL and Python-based systems. Designing data pipelines, performing feature engineering, and implementing forecasting logic tailored to cash demand patterns. Coordinating with operational teams and decision-makers (directors and deputy directors), to ensure business alignment, model usability, and interpretability.

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Economic Reasearch Specialist

Feb 2022 - Dec 2024 (2 years 11 months)

Responsibilities: Collect, process, and disseminate relevant economic information on sectors and topics of interest to FIRA, to strengthen institutional decision-making. This includes conducting sectoral and economic research, preparing documents and publications, and supporting investment project evaluation. Additionally, statistical and econometric methodologies are applied to analyze risks in credit granting, and information is gathered to support the General Directorate in decision-making. Collaboration with leading national and international economic research institutions is also sought to enrich the available data pool.

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Program Evaluation Specialist

Oct 2017 - Feb 2022 (4 years 5 months)

Design and implement evaluations of institutional programs and products using recognized methodologies, measure their impact on the target population, and propose improvements. Statistical and econometric methodologies are also developed and applied to assess financial and sectoral risks in credit processes. Additionally, legally mandated external evaluations are monitored, and recommendations are followed up to optimize programs. Timely information is provided to the General Directorate to facilitate decision-making and institutional coordination, with ongoing monitoring of program and product performance. program showed positive results in financial inclusion. Statistical and econometric analysis using data from INEGI surveys measuring fi

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Credit Risk Analysis Specialist

enero-3

Jan 2014 - Sep 2017 (3 years 9 months)

Responsibilities: Execution of procedures to calculate and evaluate the methodology of Credit Value at Risk (VaR) for the Institution, reporting the consumption level of the established limits. Analyze and report on the credit risk domain regarding the Institution's operations for presentation to the relevant committees to determine policies, strategies, and procedures beneficial to the Institution. Calculate and verify preventive reserves for expected credit risk losses for submission to financial authorities and relevant committees. Provide advice on credit risk matters to various administrative units within the Institution and to Financial Intermediaries upon request to support decision-making.

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Auditor in Data Mart Auditoria

Agosto

Aug 2011 - Nov 2013 (2 years 4 months)

Responsibilities: Application of data mining techniques for business analysis and the development of continuous auditing. Application of data manipulation techniques to create alerts and indicators for fraud detection and unusual behaviors. Cooperation with internal areas for the delivery of information and consulting. Development of routines for information validation to maintain its integrity and quality. Participation in audits to assess credit risk and credit scoring. Achivements: risk control, in internal decision-making

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Statistics Executive

Jun 2011 - Aug 2011 (3 months)

Design, operate, and maintain statistical models, incorporating advanced techniques such as sampling and bootstrapping for robust analysis. Perform monthly statistical controls to ensure accurate forecasting and estimation of figures. Collaborate with other departments on processes and activities needed to deliver promised data to clients within established deadlines. Develop and implement custom sampling strategies and bootstrapping methods to address specific client needs and improve model reliability, with a focus on market research for company products

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Servicio Social

Rubro: Vigilancia del Seguro de Pensiones y Salud

Feb 2010 - Aug 2010 (7 months)

Sergio Serrano Ayvar

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